| Main Report 2007: Independent Innovation of China’s Automotive Industry
Gained Great Momentum / 001 Outlines Prosperity Analysis of China’s Auto Market 2007 / 013
Outlines / 013
1. Selection of Auto Market Prosperity Indexes / 014
2. Analysis Method and Index Design of Auto Market Prosperity / 015
3. General Analysis of 2007 Auto Market Prosperity / 016
4. Prosperity Analysis of Auto Market 2007 by Category / 020 Status and Role of China’s Auto Industry in National Economy
and Global Auto Industry / 028
Outlines / 028
1. Status and Role of Auto and Related Industries in National Economy / 029
2. Status of China’s Auto Industry in Global Auto Industry / 040 Analysis of International Competitiveness of China’s Auto Industry / 046
Outlines / 046
1. Analysis on Factors of International Competitiveness of Auto Industry / 046
2. Construction of Assessment System of Auto Industry’s
International Competitiveness / 049
3. Basic Evaluations on International Competitiveness of China’s
Auto Industry / 056
4. Main Factors Affecting Growth of China’s Auto Industry
Competitiveness / 074
5. Policy Suggestions on Raising China’s Auto Industry Competitiveness / 079
Appendix: Construction of Index System of Aauto Industry’s
International Competitiveness / 086 Predictions and Prospects Prospect Analysis of Medium-and-long-term Development of China’s
Auto Market / 091
Outline / 091
1. Prediction on Total Vehicle Population Based on International
Comparison of Per Capita GDP / 092
2. Prediction on Vehicle (Mainly Private Cars) Population Based
on Change in Income Distribution / 094
3. Prediction on Population of Government Cars, Buses and Cargo
Vehicles in Medium and Long Term / 107
4. Prediction on Domestic Vehicle Demand in Medium and Long Term / 110 Medium-and-long-term Development Environment and Strategy
of China’s Auto Industry / 112
Outline / 112
1. International Environment for Medium-and-long-term Development
of China’s Auto Industry / 112
2. Domestic Environment of Medium-and-long-term Development
of China’s Auto Industry / 118
3. Prospects of Medium-and-long Strategy of China’s Auto Industry / 122 Medium-and-long-term Development of Energy-saving, Environment
Friendly Technologies / 129
Outline / 129
1. Core problems and Challenges Facing Energy-saving, Environment
Friendly Technologies of China’s Auto Industry / 129
2. Trends of Vehicle Energy Technology / 133
3. Trends of Vehicle Power System Development / 145 Medium-and-long Prospects of China’s Auto Industry Policy
and Assessment of Fuel Tax Impact / 157
Outline / 157
1. Medium-and-long-term Prospects of China’s Auto Industry Policy / 157
2. Medium-and-long-term Prospects of China’s Energy-saving
and Environment Friendly Policies / 161
3. Assessment of Impact of Fuel Tax Policy / 164 Focused Studies
Assessment and Policies of Independent
Innovations of China薷s Auto Industry Raising Independent Innovation Capability Is a Strategic Choice
of China’s Auto Industry / 173
Outline / 173
1. Stronger Innovation Capability is a Need of China as World’s Major
Vehicle Producer / 174
2. Stronger Innovation Capability is a Need of Chinese Enterprises
in Market Competition / 176
3. Stronger Innovation Capability is a Need of Enterprises Shifting
from Quantitative Growth to Quality and Brand Emphasis / 179
4. Stronger Innovation Capability is a Need of Chinese Enterprises
in International Cooperation / 181 Current Conditions and Analysis of Chinese Automakers?R&D
Capacity / 183
Outline / 183
1. Research Orientation and Methodology / 184
2. Findings in R&D Capacity Questionnaire / 188
3. Major Conclusions / 198
Trends and Policies of Global Auto Technology Innovations / 199
Outline / 199
1. Background of Global Vehicle Technology Innovations / 199
2. Trends and Features of Global Technological Innovations / 201
3. Role of Governments in Technological Innovations / 206 Path and Mode Choice of China’s Auto Industry Innovations / 219
Outline / 219
1. Key Factors of Automakers?Independent Innovations / 219
2. Major Types of Independent Innovation of China’s
Complete-vehicle Producers / 222
3. Innovation Capacity and Type of China’s Component Makers / 236 Enterprise: Main Body of Decision-making and Practice of Innovation / 242
Outline / 242
1. Description of Enterprise as Main Body in Innovation Theory / 242
2. Confirmation of Enterprise as Main Body of Innovation in History
of Auto Development / 243
3. Giving Full Play to Enterprise’s Status as Main Body in Innovation
Decision-making and Practice / 248 Industry: Seeking Cooperative Innovation Under Common Interests / 259
Outline / 259
1. Build a New Type Cooperative Innovation System Combining
Enterprise, College and Research / 259
2. Pay Attention to International Experience in Combining Enterprise,
College and Research / 261
3. Features of Enterprise-college-research Innovation System
and Problems to be Solved / 263
4. Giving Play to Role of Industrial Organization in Innovation / 264
5. Establishing Cooperative Innovation Between Complete-vehicle
Makers and Component Makers / 265 Government: Build Policy Environment for Independent Innovation / 269
Outline / 269
1. Building Market Environment Encouraging Innovation Through
Competition / 270
2. Creating Favorable External Environment for Enterprise’s
Innovation / 273
3. Supporting Self-owned Brand Through Government Purchase / 276
4. Accelerating Sci-tech Platform for Auto Industry / 278 Conclusions: on the Road to Sustainable Development / 280
Outline / 280
1. Relations Between Independent Innovation and Reform
and Opening Up / 281
2. Relations Between Enterprise as Main Body and Government
Guidance / 283
3. Relations Between Enterprise Independent Innovation
and Enterprise-college-research Innovation System / 283
4. Relations Between General Balance and Key Breakthroughs / 284
5. Relations Between Technological Innovation and Managerial
Innovation / 285
6. Relations of Various Types of Innovations / 286
7. Relations Between Technological Catching-up and Leaping
Development / 287
8. Relations Between Internal Impetus System and External Market
Pressure / 287
9. Relations Between Independent Innovation and Harmonious Society / 288 AppendixⅠ: Statistics / 290 AppendixⅡ: Review of Key Events in 2007 / 310 Appendix Ⅲ: Major Policies and Regulations Issued or Became
Effective in 2007 / 316
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